Week 14: Population Data Estimation, Prediction and Forecasting.
Demographers employ several techniques in attempting to understand how populations at a future date (or at a date later than that for which data are available) will resemble or differ from their current state. These are generally classed into three categories, each of which is based on a specific set of assumptions and mathematical formulations: (1) estimation, (2) projection, and (3) forecasting. The Lessen cotain brief introduction, the following sections provide explanations of each type, in the order mentioned, along with extended mathematical derivations and illustrations using census data, current information from other sources, and formal models.
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Course Material
- Week 1: Introduction to Demography and its types.
- Week 2: Major Sources of Population Data
- Week 3: The census methodology in Pakistan
- Week 4: Some major factors influencing the census results in Pakistan
- Week 5: Discussing the Demographic Picture of Pakistan with the help of census Results.
- Week 6: Sample Surveys conducting in Pakistan At National Level.
- Week 7: National Data Based & Registration Authority (NADRA) and Vital Statistics.
- Week 8: Population Size, Structure, Distribution and Changes.
- Week 9: Components of Population Growth and Balancing Equation.
- Week 10: Measures of Fertility.
- Week 11: Measures of Mortality
- Week 12: Population Theories including Theory of Demographic Transition and Malthusian Theory
- Week 13: Life Table
- Week 14: Population Data Estimation, Prediction and Forecasting.
- Week 15: Consequences of world Population Growth & Population Explosion and State of Population in Pakistan
- Week 16: Measures of Migration, Pull and Push Factors for Population.
- Chapters 16
- Department Statistics
- Teacher
Muzzamil Hussain
