Objectives:
Learning Outcomes:
The goal is to help the students to develop skills on basic concepts of sampling, index numbers, vital statistics, and time series. Also the use of these methods in different fields and develop skills on the numerical formation of time series data.
Recommended Books:
1. Chaudhry, S.M. and S. Kamal, (1996), “Introduction to Statistical Theory” Part I, II, 6th Ed, IImi Kitab Khana, Lahore, Pakistan.
2. Pollard, A.H.. Yousuf, F. and Pollard G.M. (1982), “Demographic Techniques”, Pergamon Press, Sydney.
Week 
Topics and Readings 
BOOKS 
1. 
Sampling: Need of sampling, Sample versus population, Random and nonrandom sampling, concepts of statistic and population parameter. 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (17) 
2. 
Sampling techniques: Simple Random, Stratified and Systematic random sampling. Census and survey problem ramming of questionnaire. 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (923) 
3. 
Sampling and NonSampling Errors. 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (57) 
4. 
Index numbers: construction and uses of index numbers 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (131135) 
5. 
Unweighted index numbers (simple aggregative index, Average of relative price index numbers). 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (135136) 
6. 
Weighted index numbers (Laspayers, Paaches and Fishers ideal index numbers).

Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (136140) 
7. 
Consumer price index (CPI) and Sensitive Price Indicators. 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (140156) 
8. 
Time Series Analysis: Components of time series and their isolation.

Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (477497) 
9. 
Vital Statistics: 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (517542) 
10. 
Uses of vital statistics, short comings of vital statistics, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (517518) 
11. 
rates and ratios (Sex ratio, child women ratio, birth and death ratio, population growth rate, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (518522) 
12. 
classification of natal rates, death rates or mortality rates, crude death rate, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (522523) 
13. 
specific death rate, infant mortality rate, case fatality rate, fertility rates, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (522523) 
14. 
crude birth rate, specific birth rate, standardized death rate, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (522532) 
15. 
reproduction rates, gross reproduction rate, net reproduction rate, 
Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (532536) 
16. 
Morbidity or sickness rates, marriage rates, divorce rates etc. general; fertility rate, total fertility rate.)

Introduction to Statistical Theory Part I, II (532536) 
Assessment criteria:
Exams: Mid (30%), Final(50%), sessional(20%), Assignments, Presentation, Class partcipation and quizzes
Time table:
B.s Regular
Tuesday ( 11:00 AM to 12:AM) ,Wednesday (11:00 AM to 12:00 AM), Thursdau (11:00 AM to 12:00 AM)
B.s Self
Monday (2:00 PM to 3:00PM) Tuesday (12:30 PM to 1:30 PM) Fridy (12:30 PM tp 1:30 PM)